Marin County Real Estate Market Rebounds Dramatically

Marin County Real Estate Market Rebounds Dramatically

  • Faber Real Estate Team
  • July 7, 2020

 

Marin County Real Estate Market Rebounds Dramatically

Median House Sales Price Hits New High in Quarter 

July 2020 Report

 

Despite the ongoing health and economic crisis precipitated by COVID-19, the Marin real estate market made a dramatic recovery from the steep declines in March and April. The median house sales price hit a new high in Q2, and high-end homes, in particular, have seen extremely strong demand – in fact, this applies to virtually every market in the Bay Area. More affluent buyers - the demographic least affected by COVID-19, unemployment, and also having the greatest financial resources - have been jumping back into the market to a greater degree than other segments.

The first chart below illustrates the big rebound in buyer demand, as the number of listings accepting offers in June 2020 rose much higher on a year-over-year basis. Of course, closed-sales volume - a lagging indicator - was hammered in Q2 by shelter in place.

The first chart below illustrates the big rebound in buyer demand, as the number of listings accepting offers in June 2020 rose much higher on a year-over-year basis. Of course, closed-sales volume - a lagging indicator - was hammered in Q2 by shelter in place. 

Chart comparing Marin County listings accepting offers over two 12-month periods, with a sharp rise in May and June.

 

The terrific rebound in higher-price home sales activity is illustrated in the charts below. This was certainly a factor in the jump in the median house sales price.

 

Two line charts compare Marin County higher-priced home listings accepting offers across consecutive 12-month periods.

Chart of Marin County $2 million-plus home sales, rising to 32% of sales in June 2020.

 

The inventory of listings for sale has climbed, but still remains lower than last year. 

 

Chart comparing Marin County active listings over 12 months, with listings rising sharply in May and June.

 

Two charts on median house sales price trends, the first quarterly (a new high in Q2), the second a longer-term view. 

 

Bar chart of Marin County quarterly median home prices, rising to $1.44 million in Q2 2020.

Chart comparing Marin County and Bay Area median home prices from 1991 to 2020, with recession and recovery milestones.

 

The Bay Area markets with the largest year-over-year increases in the number of listings accepting offers in June 2020 were the 4 outer Bay Area counties of Monterey (up 61%), Santa Cruz (58%), Sonoma (47%) and Napa (37%). The inner Bay Area county with the highest y-o-y jump was Marin (26%). These 5 counties also have among the lowest population densities in the Bay Area. The more urban counties saw modest y-o-y increases: San Francisco (6%) and Alameda (7%). 

 

Chart compares year-over-year home sales activity across Bay Area counties; Monterey leads at 61%, Marin reaches 26%.

 

Home prices and price trends by city and town.

 

Chart of mid-year 2020 median Marin County home sale prices by city and number of bedrooms.

Marin County mid-year 2020 median house sale prices by city and bedroom count.

Table of Marin County condo median sales prices by city and bedroom count, 2020 mid-year update.

Chart of Marin County home prices from 2011 to 2020 across five cities, with prices generally rising.

Bar chart comparing median home sale prices from 2011 to 2020 in four Marin County cities.

Chart compares median home sale prices from 2011 to 2020 across five Marin County communities.

Chart showing 30-year and 15-year fixed mortgage rates declining from November 2018 to July 2020.


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